Market Pulse Challenge 26Q2
Started: Mar 30
Closes: Jun 16
Jun 12: Last day for prize participation
$7,500 Prize Pool
The Market Pulse Challenge is a 3-month tournament inviting forecasters to predict market trends and company performance, testing their skills against measurable real-world outcomes. By focusing on rolling questions, the tournament aims to build a structured, consistent dataset that clearly tracks forecasting accuracy over time. This dataset will serve as a valuable resource, connecting forecasting insights directly into financial decision-making.
Join us in Q2 2026, to turn financial intuition into reliable predictions and contribute to an actionable record of market forecasts.
Spot Scoring
This tournament uses spot scoring, meaning that only predictions at the close time of each question count for tournament standings.
Questions
What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026?
| Date Range |
Result |
| Apr 6 - Apr 17 |
RESOLVED 4.26 |
| Apr 20 - May 1 |
RESOLVED 4.39 |
| May 4 - May 15 |
RESOLVED 4.59 |
| May 18 - May 29 |
RESOLVED 4.45 |
| Jun 1 - Jun 12 |
PENDING 4.49 |
| Jun 15 - Jun 26 |
PENDING 4.50 |
How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026?
| Date Range |
Result |
| Apr 6 - Apr 17 |
RESOLVED -32.88 |
| Apr 20 - May 1 |
RESOLVED 20.27 |
| May 4 - May 15 |
RESOLVED -2.607 |
| May 18 - May 29 |
RESOLVED -19.33 |
| Jun 1 - Jun 12 |
RESOLVED -0.7225 |
| Jun 15 - Jun 26 |
PENDING 0.414 |
How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026?
| Date Range |
Result |
| Apr 6 - Apr 17 |
RESOLVED -3.93 |
| Apr 20 - May 1 |
RESOLVED -6.035 |
| May 4 - May 15 |
RESOLVED -4.001 |
| May 18 - May 29 |
RESOLVED -2.097 |
| Jun 1 - Jun 12 |
RESOLVED -5.46 |
| Jun 15 - Jun 26 |
PENDING -0.512 |
How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026?
| Date Range |
Result |
| Apr 6 - Apr 17 |
RESOLVED 8.1 |
| Apr 20 - May 1 |
RESOLVED -5.27 |
| May 4 - May 15 |
RESOLVED 6.27 |
| May 18 - May 29 |
RESOLVED -10.23 |
| Jun 1 - Jun 12 |
RESOLVED 4 |
| Jun 15 - Jun 26 |
PENDING 1.34 |
How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026?
| Date Range |
Result |
| Apr 6 - Apr 17 |
RESOLVED 0.48 |
| Apr 20 - May 1 |
RESOLVED 0.37 |
| May 4 - May 15 |
RESOLVED 11.74 |
| May 18 - May 29 |
RESOLVED -13.24 |
| Jun 1 - Jun 12 |
RESOLVED 10.51 |
| Jun 15 - Jun 26 |
PENDING 0.49 |
How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026?
| Date Range |
Result |
| Apr 6 - Apr 17 |
RESOLVED 2.645 |
| Apr 20 - May 1 |
RESOLVED 2.419 |
| May 4 - May 15 |
RESOLVED 2.614 |
| May 18 - May 29 |
RESOLVED 1.815 |
| Jun 1 - Jun 12 |
RESOLVED -0.328 |
| Jun 15 - Jun 26 |
PENDING 0.224 |
What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026?
| Date Range |
Result |
| Apr 6 - Apr 17 |
RESOLVED 28 |
| Apr 20 - May 1 |
RESOLVED 21.56 |
| May 4 - May 15 |
RESOLVED 19.27 |
| May 18 - May 29 |
RESOLVED 19.44 |
| Jun 1 - Jun 12 |
RESOLVED 23.34 |
| Jun 15 - Jun 26 |
PENDING 22.7 |
What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026?
| Date Range |
Result |
| Apr 6 - Apr 17 |
RESOLVED 2.83 |
| Apr 20 - May 1 |
RESOLVED 2.77 |
| May 4 - May 15 |
RESOLVED 2.8 |
| May 18 - May 29 |
RESOLVED 2.72 |
| Jun 1 - Jun 12 |
PENDING 2.84 |
| Jun 15 - Jun 26 |
PENDING 2.86 |
What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies?
| Company |
Result |
| AMD |
0.84 $ |
| Apple |
2.01 $ |
| Amazon |
2.78 $ |
| Meta |
10.44 $ |
| 3 others |
|
What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q1 FY2027 earnings release?
| Metric |
Result |
| Revenue |
91B $ |
| GAAP Gross Margin |
74.9% |
| GAAP Operating Expenses |
8.5B $ |
What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies?
| Company |
Result |
| AMD |
10.253B $ |
| Apple |
111.184B $ |
| Amazon |
181.519B $ |
| Meta |
56.311B $ |
| 3 others |
|