### Frontiers in Disease Prevention Findings

#### Will a 2026 World Cup match be delayed due to heat?
- **Forecasters**: 72
- **Chance**: 10%
- **Key Factors**:
  - FIFA's stronger action threshold at 32°C
  - Open-air venues pose heat suspension risks
  - Air-conditioned stadiums for high-risk matches

#### "Dai Dai" vs "Waka Waka" on Hot 100?
- **Forecasters**: 71
- **Chance**: 14%
- **Key Factors**:
  - Recent World Cup songs failed to chart
  - Dai Dai's low initial chart position
  - Major performances at World Cup events

#### Will a new cultivated meat product be approved before July 2027?
- **Forecasters**: 9
- **Chance**: 70%

#### How many screwworm cases in Mexico before July 2027?
- **Forecasters**: 7
- **Current estimate**: 71.3k cases

#### Will plant-based meat reach 10% of US retail meat sales before 2031?
- **Forecasters**: 10
- **Chance**: 4.1%

#### Will FURA add a new cultivated meat dish before July 2027?
- **Forecasters**: 8
- **Chance**: 52.5%

#### What percentage of votes will be for Yes in Iceland's August 2026 EU referendum?
- **Forecasters**: 5
- **Distribution**:
  - Less than or equal to 50% (the referendum fails): 20.9%
  - Greater than 50% and less than 53%: 33%
  - Greater than or equal to 53% and less than 56%: 33%
  - Greater than or equal to 56%: 13.2%

#### Forecasting the Future of Animals: $3,400 in prizes
- 
- **Tournament**: Animal Futures Tournament  
- **Prize pool**: $3,400  
- **Closes in**: 2 years
- **Forecasters**: 61

#### # of top labs with animal welfare in AI guidelines in 2034?
- **Forecasters**: 5
- **Distribution**:
  - 2 labs: 15.1%
  - 3 labs: 15.1%
  - 6 labs: 13.5%
  - 7 labs: 15.1%
  - 4 others

#### Will Save Our Bacon be enacted before July 2027?
- **Forecasters**: 7
- **Chance**: 20%

#### What share of global fish production will be aquaculture in 2040?
- **Forecasters**: 7
- **Current estimate**: 66%

#### Host Nation in World Cup Semifinals 2026
- **Forecasters**: 21
- **Chance**: 10%

#### How much funding will Wild Animal Initiative receive in 2026?
- **Forecasters**: 9
- **Current estimate**: 3.98 $m

#### Will Bass be reelected LA Mayor in 2026?
- **Forecasters**: 6
- **Chance**: 53%

#### Will Nueva Pescanova's octopus farm be approved before June '27?
- **Forecasters**: 7
- **Chance**: 10%

#### SpaceX last closing price at end of August 2026?
- **Forecasters**: 73
- **Current estimate**: 153 $

#### Wild animal infected with New World screwworm in the US before 2027?
- **Forecasters**: 34
- **Chance**: 70%

#### Who will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
- **Forecasters**: 76
- **Candidates**:
  - Chad Bianco: 0.1%
  - Steve Hilton: 3.7%
  - Katie Porter: 0.1%
  - Xavier Becerra: 95.9%

#### What % of the US hen flock will be in-ovo sexed in 2027?
- **Forecasters**: 8
- **Current estimate**: 3.03%

#### Market Pulse Challenge 26Q2
- 
- **6 questions recently resolved**  
- **Closes in**: 2 weeks
- **Forecasters**: 189

#### How many more US states will ban cultivated meat before July 2027?
- **Forecasters**: 5
- **Distribution**:
  - 0%: 10%
  - 1-2 states: 23%
  - 2-3 states: 24%
  - 3-4 states: 32%
  - 4+ states: 20%

#### What will be Mexico's forecasted meat consumption for 2027?
- **Forecasters**: 8
- **Current estimate**: 11.1k 1000 MT CWE

#### What will India's meat production per capita be in 2026-2027?
- **Forecasters**: 7
- **Current estimate**: 7.77 kg per capita

#### What % of the EU hen flock will be in-ovo sexed in 2027?
- **Forecasters**: 8
- **Current estimate**: 38.2%